R-squared Calculator
Easily calculate the R-squared value (coefficient of determination) with our free R-squared Calculator. Understand how well your regression model explains the variance in the dependent variable.
Calculate R-squared (R²)
What is R-squared (R²)?
R-squared (R²), also known as the coefficient of determination, is a statistical measure that represents the proportion of the variance for a dependent variable that's explained by an independent variable or variables in a regression model. In simpler terms, it indicates the "goodness of fit" of a model. An R-squared value of 0 means the model explains none of the variability of the response data around its mean, while a value of 1 means the model explains all the variability. Our R-squared Calculator helps you find this value easily.
Anyone using regression analysis, such as economists, financial analysts, scientists, and social scientists, should use R-squared to assess how well their models fit the data. A common misconception is that a high R-squared value always means a good model. While it indicates a good fit to the sample data, it doesn't guarantee the model is correct, unbiased, or will predict new data well. Always consider other factors and the context of your analysis when interpreting the R-squared value obtained from an R-squared Calculator.
R-squared Calculator Formula and Mathematical Explanation
The R-squared value is calculated using the following formulas:
R² = SSreg / SStotal
or
R² = 1 – (SSres / SStotal)
Where:
- SStotal (Total Sum of Squares): Represents the total variance in the dependent variable (Y). It's the sum of the squared differences between each observed Y value and the mean of Y.
- SSres (Residual Sum of Squares or Sum of Squared Errors – SSE): Represents the variance that is NOT explained by the regression model. It's the sum of the squared differences between the observed Y values and the predicted Y values from the model.
- SSreg (Regression Sum of Squares or Explained Sum of Squares – SSR): Represents the variance that IS explained by the regression model. It's the sum of the squared differences between the predicted Y values and the mean of Y.
We know that SStotal = SSreg + SSres. Therefore, SSreg = SStotal – SSres. Substituting this into the first formula gives the second formula, which is often easier to use if SSres and SStotal are known. Our R-squared Calculator uses these values.
| Variable | Meaning | Unit | Typical Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| R² | R-squared / Coefficient of Determination | Dimensionless | 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%) |
| SStotal | Total Sum of Squares | Depends on the square of the dependent variable's units | ≥ 0 |
| SSres | Residual Sum of Squares | Depends on the square of the dependent variable's units | ≥ 0, ≤ SStotal |
| SSreg | Regression Sum of Squares | Depends on the square of the dependent variable's units | ≥ 0, ≤ SStotal |
Practical Examples (Real-World Use Cases)
Example 1: House Price Prediction
Suppose you build a model to predict house prices based on square footage. After fitting the model to your data, you find:
- SStotal (total variability in house prices) = 500,000 (in squared units of price, e.g., $²)
- SSres (unexplained variability by the model) = 100,000 ($²)
Using the R-squared Calculator or formula: R² = 1 – (100,000 / 500,000) = 1 – 0.2 = 0.80.
This means 80% of the variation in house prices is explained by the square footage in your model.
Example 2: Advertising Spend and Sales
A company analyzes the relationship between advertising spend and sales revenue. Their regression model yields:
- SStotal = 250,000
- SSres = 150,000
R² = 1 – (150,000 / 250,000) = 1 – 0.6 = 0.40.
The R-squared value is 0.40, indicating that 40% of the variation in sales revenue can be explained by the advertising spend according to the model. This is a moderate fit, suggesting other factors also influence sales, or the relationship might not be strongly linear. Using an R-squared Calculator gives you this insight quickly.
How to Use This R-squared Calculator
- Enter SStotal: Input the Total Sum of Squares, which represents the total variability in your dependent variable.
- Enter SSres: Input the Residual Sum of Squares, which is the variability not explained by your model.
- View Results: The R-squared Calculator automatically updates and displays the R² value, the Regression Sum of Squares (SSreg), and the percentage of variance explained.
- Interpret R-squared: The R-squared value ranges from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). A value closer to 1 indicates a better fit, meaning the model explains a larger proportion of the variance.
- Read Intermediate Values: Note the SSreg, which tells you the amount of variance explained by the model.
- Analyze the Chart: The chart visually shows the proportion of variance explained by the model (R²) versus the unexplained portion (1-R²).
When making decisions, a higher R-squared is generally better, but it's crucial to also look at other statistics like p-values for coefficients, residual plots, and the context of the regression analysis to ensure the model is valid and useful.
Key Factors That Affect R-squared Calculator Results
- Number of Predictors: Adding more independent variables to a model, even if they are not truly significant, will generally increase R-squared but may lead to overfitting. Adjusted R-squared is often preferred when comparing models with different numbers of predictors.
- Goodness of Fit: How well the chosen regression line (or curve) actually fits the data points directly impacts SSres and thus the R-squared value from the R-squared Calculator.
- Linearity of Data: R-squared is most meaningful for linear regression. If the underlying relationship is non-linear, a linear model might show a low R-squared even if a strong relationship exists (which a non-linear model might capture better).
- Outliers: Extreme data points can disproportionately influence SStotal and SSres, thereby affecting the calculated R-squared value.
- Sample Size: While not directly in the formula, very small sample sizes can lead to unreliable R-squared values.
- Range of Variables: A wider range of values for the independent and dependent variables can sometimes lead to higher R-squared values, as there's more total variance to potentially explain.
For accurate interpreting statistical results, always consider these factors alongside the R-squared value.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
It depends heavily on the field of study. In some physical sciences, R-squared values above 0.95 might be expected, while in social sciences or finance, values around 0.30 to 0.70 might be considered good or acceptable. There's no single "good" value; context is key.
The standard R-squared from ordinary least squares regression on a sample should be between 0 and 1. However, if a model is very poorly specified or if R-squared is calculated on a different dataset than the one used to fit the model, it can theoretically be negative, indicating the model fits worse than a horizontal line through the mean.
R-squared increases or stays the same when you add more predictors, even if they are useless. Adjusted R-squared penalizes the score for adding predictors that don't improve the model significantly, making it more suitable for comparing models with different numbers of predictors.
Not necessarily. A high R-squared indicates a good fit to the sample data, but the model could still be biased, miss important variables, or not predict new data well. Always check residual plots and other diagnostics. Our R-squared Calculator provides the R-squared value, but model validation is separate.
It takes the Total Sum of Squares (SStotal) and the Residual Sum of Squares (SSres) as inputs and calculates R² using the formula R² = 1 – (SSres / SStotal).
While the concept of R-squared is used, its interpretation and calculation details can be more complex in non-linear regression. This calculator is primarily designed based on the standard definition used in linear regression.
In simple linear regression (one independent variable), R-squared is equal to the square of the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) between the observed and predicted values, or between the independent and dependent variables. So, r = sqrt(R²), and the sign of r depends on the slope of the regression line.
If SStotal is zero, it means all the observed values of the dependent variable are the same. In this case, R-squared is undefined as it would involve division by zero. Our R-squared Calculator handles this by requiring SStotal > 0.
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